Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ab826996f3c909455311ee5c4fee7faa696988b2c51a4d1d09f81e367ead19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,672,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,872,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,672,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Over | 56c | 1,748,332$970,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777,802.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 45c | 550,000$247,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,499.94 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 413,042$187,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,995.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed Over | 56c | 351,563$196,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,687.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 45c | 273,742$123,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,481.31 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 46c | 204,520$95,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,051.8 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 49c | 170,209$83,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,874.06 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 44c | 168,627$74,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,766.27 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 140,539$64,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,321.1 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 110,694$59,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,692.36 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Under | 48c | 90,529$43,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,453.92 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 89,930$38,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,563.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Under | 45c | 83,000$37,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,350 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 44c | 80,000$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,200 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Under | 46c | 75,000$34,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,249.99 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 70,242$33,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,804.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 50c | 69,080$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,499.62 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Over | 46c | 65,221$29,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,543.7 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 52c | 57,344$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,343.69 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Under | 51c | 50,001$25,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,250.4 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.98 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 55c | 49,269$27,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,170.89 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 44,632$25,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,353.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Under | 45c | 43,153$19,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,297.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 58c | 40,644$23,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,070.69 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 54c | 35,000$18,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,149.97 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Over | 79c | 34,187$27,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.32 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Over | 52c | 33,720$17,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,185.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 51c | 30,166$15,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,810.27 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4ab0backed Under | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…2fa7backed Over | 53c | 29,812$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,011.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 47c | 28,992$13,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,632.22 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 43c | 28,918$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Under | 50c | 27,972$13,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under | 44c | 26,100$11,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,484 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Under | 44c | 26,100$11,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,484 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Under | 52c | 25,280$13,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,145.6 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 42c | 22,053$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,353.09 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 48c | 21,397$10,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,267.6 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 21,017$9,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,079.44 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed Over | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Under | 46c | 18,892$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.32 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed Under | 3c | 18,714$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.98 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 48c | 18,416$8,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,860.47 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 18,051$9,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,904.28 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 44c | 17,456$7,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680.62 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 16,015$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,581.12 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Under | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Under | 31c | 15,103$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 51c | 15,049$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,724.88 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 15,031$6,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,687.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 44c | 14,932$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.41 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…14b5backed Under | 0c | 13,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 13,000$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,929.93 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Over | 55c | 12,507$6,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.37 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 49c | 12,250$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.5 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 12,093$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.46 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 11,777$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.33 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 44c | 11,740$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.6 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Under | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 10,428$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.55 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 28c | 10,056$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.99 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…b4e9backed Over | 61c | 9,772$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 63c | 9,416$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.53 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 55c | 9,287$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.01 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 50c | 9,122$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.45 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 52c | 9,050$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Under | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…b71dbacked Over | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 68c | 8,897$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.65 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Under | 47c | 8,681$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.42 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed Under | 50c | 8,420$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed Under | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 7,613$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.03 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 50c | 7,529$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.44 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 46c | 7,505$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.41 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 45c | 7,470$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.86 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Over | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 6,888$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Under | 50c | 6,359$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Under | 47c | 6,200$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.91 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 51c | 5,929$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 45c | 5,900$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 45c | 5,811$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 70c | 5,712$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.16 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.