TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,672,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,872,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,672,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x095f…90b2backed Over56c1,748,332$970,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777,802.621968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under45c550,000$247,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247,499.9433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c413,042$187,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,995.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed Over56c351,563$196,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,687.882142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under45c273,742$123,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,481.3151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under46c204,520$95,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,051.832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over49c170,209$83,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,874.0664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c168,627$74,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,766.2742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c140,539$64,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,321.177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over53c110,694$59,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,692.3642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under48c90,529$43,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,453.9213448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c89,930$38,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,563.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under45c83,000$37,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,3509846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under44c80,000$35,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,2003943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Under46c75,000$34,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,249.998063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under48c70,242$33,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,804.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under50c69,080$34,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,499.6213742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over46c65,221$29,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,543.715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over52c57,344$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,343.6914343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Under51c50,001$25,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,250.49131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over77c50,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.984178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over55c49,269$27,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,170.8911642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c44,632$25,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,353.013,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under45c43,153$19,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,297.532250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over58c40,644$23,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,070.6974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over54c35,000$18,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,149.977949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over79c34,187$27,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.325040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Over52c33,720$17,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,185.553063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over51c30,166$15,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,810.2724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd832…4ab0backed Under44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5009451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Over53c29,812$15,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,011.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under47c28,992$13,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,632.2244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under43c28,918$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5007163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Under50c27,972$13,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,986.085147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under44c26,100$11,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4844348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under44c26,100$11,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4845745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Under52c25,280$13,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,145.624344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.976055%33 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under42c22,053$9,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,353.092,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under48c21,397$10,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,267.628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c21,017$9,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,079.441,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed Over56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8002560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Under46c18,892$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.324057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under3c18,714$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9811227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under48c18,416$8,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,860.4717852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over51c18,051$9,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,904.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under44c17,456$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.6221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c16,667$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c16,015$7,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,581.121,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Under1c16,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under31c15,103$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6822860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under51c15,049$7,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,724.8840655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c15,031$6,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,687.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under44c14,932$6,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,544.4137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x197d…14b5backed Under0c13,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under46c13,000$5,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,929.9323949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Over55c12,507$6,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,585.379341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over49c12,250$6,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.514351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c12,093$5,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.461,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under45c11,777$5,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,246.3331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under44c11,740$5,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,165.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Under45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.952842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c10,428$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Under48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under28c10,056$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.9925125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over52c10,000$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,76026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over61c9,772$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9616947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over63c9,416$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.5337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under55c9,287$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.0144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over50c9,122$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,592.4525336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c9,050$4,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7062842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under42c9,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78014250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Over56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.571984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over68c8,897$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.6525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under47c8,681$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,045.4213151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Under50c8,420$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2103754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5204856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c7,613$3,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.031,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under50c7,529$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.4432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under46c7,505$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.416749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under45c7,470$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.8656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,29010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under45c6,888$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.65345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under50c6,359$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Under47c6,200$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.921957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.458639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4523230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9124144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under51c5,929$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c5,900$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under45c5,811$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6159647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over70c5,712$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.1623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.