TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Paper Rex64c29,959$19,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,173.6654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp36c28,289$10,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,153.6824145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Karmine Corp19c23,940$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,391.5817948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Paper Rex25c21,717$5,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.296643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Karmine Corp58c5,916$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.8426650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex29c5,562$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.9793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed Paper Rex18c3,465$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp19c3,454$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.7341734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed Karmine Corp35c3,203$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.134156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed Paper Rex72c2,554$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp40c2,199$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Paper Rex2c2,007$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.373721.6%8 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Karmine Corp20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60015431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Paper Rex25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex37c1,507$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.731,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Paper Rex54c1,446$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1984838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp17c1,400$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.0532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Karmine Corp35c1,301$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.1835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Paper Rex65c1,231$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.994759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Karmine Corp29c1,177$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.663857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex37c1,151$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.651,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Karmine Corp40c1,052$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.9325444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Paper Rex35c1,014$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6316547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex35c1,004$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3340944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Paper Rex66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed Paper Rex42c972$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.895143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Paper Rex79c948.12$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.8728743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a1…504cbacked Karmine Corp14c931.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.46540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+73.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Karmine Corp18c809.84$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.073834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Paper Rex80c807$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.6346347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Paper Rex25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex30c772$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.91,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Paper Rex65c756.59$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7816950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Paper Rex67c749.99$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.57252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Paper Rex52c747.87$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7114653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Paper Rex69c741.25$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.631952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Paper Rex40c734.39$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.223644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex55c706.02$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp46c687.65$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.871,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Paper Rex44c671.82$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c02…751dbacked Karmine Corp65c657.06$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp60c628.25$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Paper Rex20c626.68$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.616442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex63c586.15$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.41,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp20c583.28$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6219860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paper Rex64c578.45$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Karmine Corp34c575.73$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.018852.3%46 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Paper Rex26c573.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc35b…8dddbacked Karmine Corp60c551.49$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.441827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8373…7475backed Karmine Corp33c542.54$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Paper Rex42c536.89$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5319648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex52c534.46$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Karmine Corp19c527.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0619655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Karmine Corp25c525.55$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.556124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Karmine Corp18c512.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204818.8%9 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Paper Rex31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15522018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Karmine Corp56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed Paper Rex23c486.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed Paper Rex53c471.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paper Rex58c470.64$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Paper Rex10c464.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.018145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Paper Rex74c440.26$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x738b…7579backed Karmine Corp46c435.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.782763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Paper Rex77c432.89$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.864843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Karmine Corp24c422.44$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.166848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Karmine Corp33c416$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.914750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Karmine Corp19c408$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.4825453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp25c392.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5649255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Paper Rex50c383.47$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19012856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex25c370$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.566438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Paper Rex46c361.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Paper Rex33c356.62$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.595349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex58c355.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.41,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed Karmine Corp75c350.31$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.352263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f0…2a8dbacked Karmine Corp60c337.13$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Karmine Corp75c327.91$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.981283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Karmine Corp33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.038848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Paper Rex42c300$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.079742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Karmine Corp32c299.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.991741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Paper Rex68c298.75$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.159151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Paper Rex18c293.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5310628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Paper Rex78c284.68$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4322344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3868…7ecfbacked Karmine Corp20c284.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+51.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Paper Rex46c283.37$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1990733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Paper Rex63c279.97$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7821457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Karmine Corp72c257.79$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.183161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Paper Rex26c257.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.677143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Paper Rex4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Karmine Corp14c250$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21514552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Paper Rex6c245.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex70c240.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6943059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Karmine Corp54c222.53$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.696647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Paper Rex25c221.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.47534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Paper Rex78c219.33$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9742140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c45…7069backed Karmine Corp69c201.78$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.76969.6%48 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Karmine Corp58c201.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1615833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Paper Rex25c200.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Karmine Corp19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Paper Rex33c189.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.852030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80f5…daa2backed Karmine Corp35c170.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.391947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.