Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd968bda5a2f8d27ca51cb9289943b76ebf16f2a480d8cc42b38bd6d4996291a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 22,870$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,263.53 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Paper Rex | 71c | 21,784$15,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,466.64 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Paper Rex | 18c | 3,465$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,830$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.02 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Paper Rex | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 902.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.99 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 872.27$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.22 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Paper Rex | 50c | 854.18$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.09 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 734.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.8 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 727.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.9 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp | 16c | 687.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.79 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 64c | 543.61$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Paper Rex | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 418.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 400.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Paper Rex | 72c | 400.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Paper Rex | 55c | 377.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 368.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Paper Rex | 39c | 353.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 316.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 306.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Paper Rex | 56c | 269.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Paper Rex | 62c | 245.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 239.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 220.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 215.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Paper Rex | 38c | 164.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 159.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 153.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 151.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 134.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…b97fbacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 132.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 130.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Paper Rex | 72c | 118.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Paper Rex | 43c | 117.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 114.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Paper Rex | 54c | 106.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paper Rex | 36c | 106.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Paper Rex | 16c | 95.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 89.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 88.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 84.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 83.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Paper Rex | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Paper Rex | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Paper Rex | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 75.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 68.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 68.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed Paper Rex | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 63.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1001…0cf1backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 62.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Paper Rex | 80c | 62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed Paper Rex | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Paper Rex | 57c | 51.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 50.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Paper Rex | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Paper Rex | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed Paper Rex | 67c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Paper Rex | 69c | 49.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Paper Rex | 71c | 43.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Paper Rex | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 41.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4907backed Paper Rex | 77c | 35.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Paper Rex | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Paper Rex | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.