Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4b8a48e196f0b08da67cedbc3212708fc6cbc58ec32d44e9a03dfa2cc32af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Paper Rex, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7714…b814backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 3,043$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Paper Rex | 52c | 1,343$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.36 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Paper Rex | 51c | 929.41$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 737.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Paper Rex | 55c | 530.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Paper Rex | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Paper Rex | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 447.39$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.59 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Paper Rex | 52c | 438.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 433.87$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Paper Rex | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 344.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Paper Rex | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Paper Rex | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 158.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Paper Rex | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed Paper Rex | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Paper Rex | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Paper Rex | 55c | 107.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…661ebacked Paper Rex | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 97.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 75.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Paper Rex | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 63.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Paper Rex | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 49.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 45.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Paper Rex | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Paper Rex | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…ce0cbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.