Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda8af88fa5e85210da726c0e946f23b5fb222845f96a9be81b260dc49642bb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Karmine Corp, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 3,687$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.19 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Paper Rex | 71c | 3,546$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.34 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 2,765$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…dcd9backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 1,536$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Paper Rex | 62c | 1,313$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 1,135$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.2 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 893$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 819.11$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3b8cbacked Paper Rex | 39c | 778.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Paper Rex | 53c | 777.23$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.64 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 73c | 746.27$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.44 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex | 52c | 731.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.21 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Paper Rex | 80c | 727.93$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Paper Rex | 70c | 568.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 529.82$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 520.89$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Paper Rex | 64c | 494.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 491.76$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 467.32$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 444.94$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Karmine Corp | 11c | 428.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…2a8dbacked Paper Rex | 58c | 416.95$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 409.89$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 402.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 362.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 339.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 290$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 288.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex | 70c | 286$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 272.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 220.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 151.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Paper Rex | 63c | 149.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 142.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Paper Rex | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 136.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Paper Rex | 59c | 134.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 50c | 118.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 113.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…c765backed Paper Rex | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 97.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Paper Rex | 50c | 97.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 93.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 20c | 92.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Paper Rex | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Paper Rex | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Paper Rex | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Paper Rex | 67c | 70.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 65.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 58.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4829backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 45.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 45.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed Paper Rex | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Paper Rex | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 38.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Paper Rex | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 33.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Paper Rex | 44c | 30.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed Paper Rex | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Paper Rex | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 26.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Paper Rex | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4907backed Paper Rex | 74c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.