Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9b8ab869ec4662ea9975ad778658dcb39dababeb02a6517415bc71991d1f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $679,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 253,793$36,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,400.07 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 28,520$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 22,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…705fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 17,189$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 16,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 583 | 3.6%21 W · 562 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 12,701$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.03 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 8,430$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.71 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 7,726$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.29 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…2b2fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 7,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…a5e1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 6,903$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.36 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 6,232$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.8 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 6,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.05 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6b92backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 5,797$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 5,012$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.7 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…0d70backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 4,954$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 4,278$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.47 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 2,997$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 288 | 36.8%106 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 2,948$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 2,827$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 153 | 33.3%51 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,650$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 2,605$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.71 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,396$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 2,222$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…8f92backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,033$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…bd2cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,785$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…54fbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 1,390$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 1,267$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 1,257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 1,250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,202$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,150$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…3365backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…9bf6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 928.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…ddbfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 899.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 365 | 52.6%192 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 789.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 732.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 703.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 609.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 170 | 32.4%55 W · 115 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…5a3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 601.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 550.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…0db5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 521.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 514.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…ecb1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 513.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 496.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 355 | 16.3%58 W · 297 L | -25.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 434.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 355 | 42.3%150 W · 205 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 428.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…0a57backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 390.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 365$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…04aebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e854backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 353.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 337 | 38%128 W · 209 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 311.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 285.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 273.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 271.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72f…ad55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 259.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 238.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…532cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 217.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…dcc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 207$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…5270backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 204.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…04ecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 201.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 196.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 190.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 161.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…0606backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 152.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 135 | 23.7%32 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…9800backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 135.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…2038backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 128.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.