Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a71635b112ebe6fe6018674ae585e8a2f841bac05ddf77df1557ec4c37067a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 38,863$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.32 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 35,288$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 34,850$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.26 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 16,632$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.62 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 583 | 3.6%21 W · 562 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 13,123$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.64 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 11,700$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 11,580$9,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.6 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 11,207$8,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.58 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 10,968$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.72 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 10,100$7,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 218 | 59.6%130 W · 88 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 9,000$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 8,287$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.1 | 123 | 26%32 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 8,155$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.8 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 7,000$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.53 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 6,991$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.66 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 6,637$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.55 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 6,416$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 6,196$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.04 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 5,800$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.42 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 5,555$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.55 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 4,500$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 4,488$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 4,444$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 4,213$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 4,110$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 4,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 215 | 23.3%50 W · 165 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 3,904$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.15 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 3,771$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 3,718$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 3,286$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 3,167$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.27 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 3,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 2,700$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…a1ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,602$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.18 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 2,553$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 2,460$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 2,436$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.51 | 288 | 36.8%106 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c4…da2fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 2,250$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,956$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.29 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,741$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.43 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,602$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.48 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,558$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 46%126 W · 148 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,508$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,465$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,267$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.39 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 1,177$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,111$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 1,057$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 1,048$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 1,038$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 311 | 37.6%117 W · 194 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,022$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 305 | 21.3%65 W · 240 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,011$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 1,010$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.4%92 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…5a1cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 72 | 79.2%57 W · 15 L | +14.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +43%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…3e1ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 980$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 964.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 954.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…0caabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 884.46$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 874.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 823.44$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 246 | 55.3%136 W · 110 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 814.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 799.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 774.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 774.22$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 49%127 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 725$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d2…1a3ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 720$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 700$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 699.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 666$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…fbf4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 630$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 708 | 57.1%404 W · 304 L | +41.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…e762backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 619$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 610$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…1badbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 599.41$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 573$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 568.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 551$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 528.21$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…85d5backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 550 | 10.4%57 W · 493 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.