TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec54…e8c1backed Over51c1,724$878 inLost-$878.041,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked Under49c1,627$797 inWon+$829.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over40c341.44$137 inLost-$136.6196749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under60c339.13$203 inWon+$136.252,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over43c299.98$129 inLost-$128.9910545.7%48 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under57c223.59$127 inWon+$96.4414544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Under51c194.54$100 inWon+$94.541,01247%476 W · 536 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over45c120$53 inLost-$53.41,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost-$5016048.8%78 W · 82 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Under57c105.96$60 inWon+$45.9611045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c93.31$44 inLost-$44.0441749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Over47c84.37$40 inLost-$39.6516645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Under60c80$48 inWon+$3252750.9%268 W · 259 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8838…b9febacked Under56c70.89$40 inWon+$30.893441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost-$3014147.5%67 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under58c64.14$37 inWon+$26.941,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Over42c64.14$27 inLost-$26.9445444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…e033backed Under55c40$22 inWon+$18850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under55c39.6$22 inWon+$17.8277654.8%425 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under47c31.79$15 inWon+$16.7984840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Under54c30$16 inWon+$13.896348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Over39c26$10 inLost-$10.1464048.1%308 W · 332 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under50c20$10 inWon+$106360.3%38 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5534…eb60backed Over50c20$10 inLost-$102755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.