Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987f243f7cd0a41a95bb891d4f6be71c04dd3e7844429082acbfaa050c295369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,036,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,176,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 181,527$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.74 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 57,181$10,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,515.21 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 35,000$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 30,614$7,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.33 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…ad1abacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 29,359$23,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 27,452$20,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 26,338$19,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.41 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…03aebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 25,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 20,238$15,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.5 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…8212backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 19,999$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 17,835$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.65 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…f745backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 15,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 13,126$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.95 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 12,500$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 12,153$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.31 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 11,678$8,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.19 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…66d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 11,459$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.07 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 10,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 218 | 59.6%130 W · 88 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 9,692$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ba25backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 9,219$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.28 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 7,087$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.7 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 6,474$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.66 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 5,555$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 5,100$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 5,000$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.6 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 4,723$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 4,690$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.9 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 4,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.6 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…704ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 4,039$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.13 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 3,848$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.87 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 3,540$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.61 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 3,402$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…4ef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 3,064$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 3,030$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.09 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 3,005$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 2,919$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.32 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 2,893$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.12 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 2,885$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 2,807$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 2,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 2,400$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 2,367$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.74 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 2,226$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.61 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 2,224$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,214$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.13 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 2,115$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.21 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 2,058$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.32 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 215 | 23.3%50 W · 165 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…fbf4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,998$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…ba3ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 1,982$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 330 | 69.7%230 W · 100 L | +28.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…0caabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 1,827$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…68fbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,812$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,781$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,740$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.39 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51f…1093backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,683$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,582$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.96 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,572$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.84 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 1,545$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…9a58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 1,538$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.03 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 1,515$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,500$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.71 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,481$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,471$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…a1ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,429$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,427$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.56 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.07 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 1,395$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.42 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…d5e4backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 1,381$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,352$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,332$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.33 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,266$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.74 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,245$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 583 | 3.6%21 W · 562 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 1,146$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,129$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.86 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,121$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.21 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 1,117$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.54 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,078$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.81 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,056$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,007$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…e1e1backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -12.4wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,000$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 288 | 36.8%106 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…3e1ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…907fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.