Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe633b39b3173ed88e82b391ed7fa09dfb09d2d4339a6c29d4d7868d704d382be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 20,330$12,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.21 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 15,559$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.47 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 9,818$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.95 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 8,916$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.99 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 5,207$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.43 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 4,240$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.67 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 3,274$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.32 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,534$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.01 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 2,097$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 2,088$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.42 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.51 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 1,200$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 1,144$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 1,105$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 1,016$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.63 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 1,010$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.87 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…ddcbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 232 | 41.4%96 W · 136 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 898.77$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.06 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 844.74$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 652.35$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 649.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 645.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 598.89$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.17 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 579.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 555$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 529.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 526.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 520.63$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 502.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 493.43$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.67 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 485.73$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 350.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 332.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 320.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 302.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…d0cbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 281.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 253.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -5.0wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 252.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 250.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 248.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 225$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 219.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…77debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 203.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 359 | 66.6%239 W · 120 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 198.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…0db5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 191.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 185.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 257 | 40.1%103 W · 154 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 179.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…1e16backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 167.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 161.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 147.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 146.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 139.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…ca8bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 129.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 119.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 87.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…f9edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 73.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3b5dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 64.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 63.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…755ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 60.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.