TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9034…5270

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$19.69
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+433.7%+$128.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$13.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$22.58
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+198.4%+$31.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-48.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jordyn Hazelitt vs Harriet Dartbacked Jordyn Hazelitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$20.27
US Open, Qualification WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Pedro Martinezbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.93
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.89
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.53
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.