Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe30111bae8022708f5a0d648a4bcb1c5f158ee2906b085198230f90a36f7968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 28,802$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.78 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 3c | 18,647$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 6c | 16,133$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 4c | 13,784$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.37 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 13,272$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…b6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 12,869$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,941$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 1c | 8,471$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 8,411$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 7,960$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 6c | 4,761$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…4325backed Yes | 6c | 4,575$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 2c | 3,977$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 3,744$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…e2c1backed Yes | 7c | 2,677$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…2226backed Yes | 1c | 2,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 5c | 2,090$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,456$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 6c | 950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 5c | 780$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 6c | 758.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 5c | 474.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…a7b7backed Yes | 8c | 454.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 3c | 436$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 4c | 417.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 4c | 412.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…9682backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 3c | 376$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 8c | 333.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 5c | 292.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…5270backed Yes | 4c | 276.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…19f7backed Yes | 8c | 170.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 8c | 143.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.