Serie A · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5238a9a4e7193a7b4d4e9e1e72757fa27197e90b4a6f878347ed4501b1b6031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 5,691$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 1,337$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 13c | 953.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 507.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 16c | 507.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 21c | 440.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 15c | 177.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 156.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 11c | 93.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 17c | 73.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.