CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85aeec7979471a26b33c0ed3cc430352ab6c94ba0acd8dfa2f06c878db8384a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Alliance, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wildcard | 65c | 68,465$44,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,897.6 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Alliance | 35c | 44,802$15,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,667.46 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Alliance | 55c | 18,400$10,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.97 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Alliance | 51c | 15,538$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,979.85 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Wildcard | 45c | 11,110$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.5 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Wildcard | 50c | 10,782$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,361.33 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard | 59c | 7,529$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.58 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Wildcard | 64c | 6,546$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.89 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed Alliance | 55c | 6,441$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 45c | 6,414$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.41 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Wildcard | 45c | 6,015$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.03 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Alliance | 54c | 6,000$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.45 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wildcard | 44c | 5,932$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.38 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 26c | 5,576$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.15 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Alliance | 41c | 4,850$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…d48fbacked Wildcard | 79c | 4,539$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Wildcard | 50c | 4,521$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.11 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Alliance | 56c | 4,513$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Alliance | 55c | 3,777$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.34 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Wildcard | 47c | 3,714$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.21 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Alliance | 56c | 3,624$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.78 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Wildcard | 51c | 3,563$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.61 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Alliance | 57c | 3,485$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.59 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Alliance | 58c | 3,468$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.88 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Alliance | 59c | 3,399$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Alliance | 56c | 3,235$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.73 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Alliance | 38c | 3,200$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Wildcard | 45c | 2,779$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Wildcard | 45c | 2,768$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.63 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Alliance | 18c | 2,696$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.22 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Wildcard | 43c | 2,689$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.73 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Wildcard | 44c | 2,679$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.79 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed Alliance | 54c | 2,518$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Alliance | 20c | 2,512$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Alliance | 55c | 2,451$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.05 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Alliance | 54c | 2,425$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Wildcard | 55c | 2,348$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.46 | 380 | 54.5%207 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Wildcard | 45c | 2,316$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.29 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alliance | 20c | 2,301$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.03 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alliance | 33c | 2,137$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.17 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Wildcard | 44c | 2,038$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Wildcard | 58c | 2,018$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.52 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Alliance | 55c | 1,856$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.8 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Wildcard | 45c | 1,771$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.2 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Wildcard | 63c | 1,717$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.2 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Wildcard | 72c | 1,711$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.79 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Wildcard | 51c | 1,630$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.78 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard | 57c | 1,599$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.63 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b807backed Wildcard | 71c | 1,553$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.71 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance | 28c | 1,515$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.56 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Alliance | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Wildcard | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Alliance | 58c | 1,392$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.46 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Alliance | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alliance | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Wildcard | 47c | 1,371$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.78 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Wildcard | 42c | 1,355$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.89 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Alliance | 44c | 1,300$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Alliance | 16c | 1,287$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Wildcard | 64c | 1,263$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Wildcard | 69c | 1,250$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Wildcard | 72c | 1,221$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.12 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wildcard | 71c | 1,166$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.55 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wildcard | 74c | 1,148$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.54 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…7f0abacked Alliance | 34c | 1,137$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Alliance | 54c | 1,110$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.59 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Alliance | 50c | 1,108$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.78 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Wildcard | 59c | 1,100$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.7 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard | 42c | 1,091$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.63 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Alliance | 49c | 1,085$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.46 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Wildcard | 45c | 1,030$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.49 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 63c | 1,003$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.69 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Wildcard | 63c | 1,002$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.33 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wildcard | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Alliance | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Alliance | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Alliance | 33c | 997.52$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.14 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Wildcard | 65c | 901.42$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Alliance | 57c | 850.49$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.78 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Wildcard | 78c | 787.76$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Wildcard | 66c | 757.64$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.11 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wildcard | 65c | 735.34$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.68 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Alliance | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Alliance | 35c | 719.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Alliance | 18c | 692.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Alliance | 42c | 666.9$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Wildcard | 71c | 658.07$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Wildcard | 42c | 602$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Wildcard | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Alliance | 55c | 596$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Alliance | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Wildcard | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Alliance | 55c | 533.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Wildcard | 46c | 530.43$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Alliance | 50c | 520.1$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wildcard | 79c | 503.9$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Wildcard | 42c | 500$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Wildcard | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Wildcard | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Wildcard | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)Wildcard won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)Wildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.