CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65694b4309e25c3a1580cf4fe3eabb2e6ebbcee9371563b10db2b632f46bbee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Alliance, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Wildcard | 37c | 200,000$74,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,999.91 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Alliance | 54c | 129,378$69,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,984.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Alliance | 58c | 30,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Wildcard | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.97 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 34c | 26,025$8,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,966 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Alliance | 63c | 19,590$12,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,243.75 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Alliance | 63c | 15,000$9,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 38c | 14,173$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,787.04 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Alliance | 63c | 13,869$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,737.45 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Alliance | 62c | 13,500$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.99 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance | 54c | 11,934$6,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,445.72 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wildcard | 57c | 10,149$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.62 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed Wildcard | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 37c | 8,180$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Alliance | 65c | 7,997$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.89 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Alliance | 25c | 7,945$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Wildcard | 37c | 7,470$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…0a2dbacked Wildcard | 36c | 6,659$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alliance | 63c | 6,243$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.94 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Wildcard | 65c | 6,097$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Wildcard | 43c | 5,814$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.8 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Alliance | 63c | 5,408$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.06 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard | 78c | 5,237$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.57 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Wildcard | 67c | 4,078$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.26 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed Wildcard | 65c | 4,060$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Wildcard | 65c | 4,042$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.7 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Wildcard | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.92 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Wildcard | 36c | 3,969$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.39 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Wildcard | 37c | 3,876$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Alliance | 56c | 3,573$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Alliance | 63c | 3,519$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.13 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Alliance | 63c | 3,400$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Alliance | 62c | 3,200$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Alliance | 34c | 3,184$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.56 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Wildcard | 37c | 3,147$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.06 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Alliance | 63c | 3,063$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.33 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Wildcard | 65c | 3,018$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.11 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Alliance | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…b275backed Alliance | 23c | 2,686$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Alliance | 28c | 2,637$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.35 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 31c | 2,538$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Wildcard | 37c | 2,377$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.69 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Alliance | 63c | 2,300$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.31 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wildcard | 76c | 2,234$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.16 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Wildcard | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.95 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Wildcard | 54c | 1,980$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.62 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard | 69c | 1,974$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Wildcard | 65c | 1,962$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.54 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Alliance | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Alliance | 63c | 1,862$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.06 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Alliance | 63c | 1,654$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.74 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Wildcard | 37c | 1,652$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.33 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Alliance | 34c | 1,614$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.75 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Alliance | 63c | 1,605$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.85 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Alliance | 55c | 1,594$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.16 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Alliance | 63c | 1,559$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.97 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Wildcard | 48c | 1,546$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.95 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Alliance | 64c | 1,530$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Wildcard | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Alliance | 55c | 1,428$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.4 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 28c | 1,395$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Wildcard | 37c | 1,389$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.98 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Alliance | 63c | 1,348$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Alliance | 41c | 1,336$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.1 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Wildcard | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alliance | 63c | 1,306$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.34 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Alliance | 61c | 1,302$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.31 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Alliance | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Wildcard | 38c | 1,273$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.24 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Wildcard | 36c | 1,172$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.84 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Alliance | 22c | 1,145$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Alliance | 18c | 1,122$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Wildcard | 37c | 1,111$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Wildcard | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Alliance | 55c | 1,099$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Alliance | 62c | 1,089$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.16 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alliance | 24c | 1,081$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Wildcard | 33c | 1,050$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Wildcard | 65c | 1,026$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alliance | 63c | 1,019$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.87 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance | 7c | 1,012$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 69c | 1,000$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.49 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Wildcard | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Alliance | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Alliance | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Alliance | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 29c | 998.45$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Alliance | 63c | 962.18$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.21 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Alliance | 59c | 941.04$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.22 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Wildcard | 76c | 939$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance | 10c | 927.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Alliance | 41c | 910$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.19 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Alliance | 24c | 844$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Wildcard | 42c | 838.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.23 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance | 23c | 837.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Alliance | 63c | 829.99$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.89 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alliance | 63c | 806$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.78 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Alliance | 62c | 805$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Alliance | 42c | 798$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)Wildcard won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)Wildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.