CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb058bfce3e600ea75352c76d1866917db9f289169346f3fea25b64ed9b12fb5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Alliance, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wildcard | 58c | 56,067$32,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,586.82 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Alliance | 38c | 40,000$15,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,073.03 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Alliance | 44c | 13,077$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,813.55 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Wildcard | 46c | 6,565$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.91 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 50c | 6,333$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.7 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 30c | 6,278$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Wildcard | 49c | 5,980$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.52 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wildcard | 57c | 5,953$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.95 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Wildcard | 58c | 5,679$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.64 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Alliance | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Alliance | 46c | 4,876$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.51 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Wildcard | 47c | 4,682$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.18 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Alliance | 45c | 3,958$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Alliance | 61c | 3,920$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Wildcard | 47c | 3,785$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.35 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Alliance | 30c | 3,254$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.68 | 226 | 41.2%93 W · 133 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Alliance | 56c | 3,039$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.51 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Wildcard | 63c | 2,844$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.83 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Alliance | 38c | 2,678$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Alliance | 64c | 2,661$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.68 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alliance | 41c | 2,603$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.71 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Alliance | 40c | 2,500$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.23 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Alliance | 42c | 2,500$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.49 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Alliance | 27c | 2,499$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.78 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Alliance | 64c | 2,468$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.18 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Wildcard | 53c | 2,404$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.09 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Alliance | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alliance | 47c | 1,973$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.51 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard | 65c | 1,963$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.58 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Alliance | 55c | 1,855$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.2 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Alliance | 25c | 1,711$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Alliance | 22c | 1,514$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Alliance | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Alliance | 45c | 1,283$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wildcard | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alliance | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Alliance | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Alliance | 46c | 1,058$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.16 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Alliance | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Alliance | 47c | 1,051$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Alliance | 56c | 1,010$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.4 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wildcard | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Alliance | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Alliance | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Alliance | 31c | 999.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Alliance | 49c | 999.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alliance | 46c | 999.6$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.54 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Alliance | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…349fbacked Alliance | 37c | 953.11$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 39c | 900$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Alliance | 62c | 859.62$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.96 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wildcard | 55c | 846.04$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.37 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard | 56c | 785.36$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Alliance | 66c | 765.79$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.62 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Alliance | 29c | 749.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Alliance | 35c | 718.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Wildcard | 36c | 711.77$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.53 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Wildcard | 52c | 702.53$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.87 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Alliance | 41c | 687.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Alliance | 44c | 639.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Alliance | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Alliance | 48c | 599.96$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…f0d6backed Alliance | 55c | 592.53$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Wildcard | 75c | 577.2$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Wildcard | 51c | 545.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 36c | 538.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Wildcard | 49c | 513.61$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.51 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Alliance | 40c | 501$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Alliance | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Wildcard | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Alliance | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Alliance | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Alliance | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Alliance | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wildcard | 48c | 460$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Wildcard | 49c | 459.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Alliance | 37c | 440.79$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Wildcard | 75c | 435.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Wildcard | 64c | 431.73$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Wildcard | 77c | 427.96$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Wildcard | 58c | 402.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Alliance | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Alliance | 37c | 400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Alliance | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alliance | 64c | 395.44$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Wildcard | 75c | 389$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed Wildcard | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Alliance | 53c | 372.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wildcard | 58c | 370$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…1c3bbacked Alliance | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Wildcard | 50c | 350$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Wildcard | 72c | 300.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Alliance | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Alliance | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Alliance | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wildcard | 62c | 299.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…6998backed Alliance | 32c | 299.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Wildcard | 33c | 299.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Wildcard | 35c | 286.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)Wildcard won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)Wildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.