CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a8edb7317db8372c28207d269dc12001301a485376f9a0a221efb91fbf9fb52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Alliance, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Wildcard | 62c | 12,662$7,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Alliance | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 64c | 9,462$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.22 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Wildcard | 64c | 5,396$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.05 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 38c | 5,241$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.65 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Alliance | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Alliance | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.95 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wildcard | 62c | 2,316$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.14 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Alliance | 38c | 2,006$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.28 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Alliance | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 63c | 1,685$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.36 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Alliance | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Wildcard | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Alliance | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Wildcard | 64c | 944.22$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.92 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Wildcard | 63c | 806.45$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 38c | 660$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alliance | 37c | 613.2$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Alliance | 37c | 585.47$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Wildcard | 63c | 558.49$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Alliance | 38c | 516$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Alliance | 35c | 330.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Alliance | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 394 | 54.3%214 W · 180 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Alliance | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Alliance | 37c | 195.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wildcard | 71c | 164.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wildcard | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Wildcard | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Wildcard | 64c | 150.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Alliance | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 153 | 20.9%32 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Alliance | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Alliance | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Alliance | 38c | 133.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Alliance | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Wildcard | 74c | 102.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Alliance | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Alliance | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 201 | 41.8%84 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Alliance | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Alliance | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 67c | 70.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Wildcard | 63c | 63.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Wildcard | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Alliance | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wildcard | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Wildcard | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Alliance | 37c | 40.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Alliance | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Wildcard | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Alliance | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Wildcard | 64c | 37.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Wildcard | 63c | 33.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alliance | 37c | 31.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Wildcard | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Wildcard | 64c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Wildcard | 64c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)Wildcard won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.