Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi You
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6308071d1ed17e81197f2375855cacb1f133b1821bb9e3bc29217f0c7740e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qinwen Zhengof Qinwen Zheng, Xiaodi You
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Xiaodi You | 4c | 18,173$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.8 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Xiaodi You | 9c | 11,500$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.5 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Xiaodi You | 5c | 11,311$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.68 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xiaodi You | 1c | 7,848$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Xiaodi You | 6c | 5,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Xiaodi You | 5c | 4,515$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Xiaodi You | 6c | 4,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xiaodi You | 7c | 3,082$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xiaodi You | 2c | 2,481$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Xiaodi You | 8c | 1,788$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Xiaodi You | 6c | 1,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Xiaodi You | 8c | 1,248$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Xiaodi You | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…28c6backed Xiaodi You | 2c | 863.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Xiaodi You | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Xiaodi You | 9c | 620$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Xiaodi You | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Xiaodi You | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Xiaodi You | 9c | 459.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xiaodi You | 3c | 456.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Xiaodi You | 8c | 453$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Xiaodi You | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Xiaodi You | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Xiaodi You | 9c | 374.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Xiaodi You | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Xiaodi You | 9c | 294.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xiaodi You | 8c | 249.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…5270backed Xiaodi You | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi Youthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs YouZheng won
- Set 2 Winner: Zheng vs YouZheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.