AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,980,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,685,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,980,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 854 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 2c | 91,891$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 80,433$15,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,515.71 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 24c | 64,956$15,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,577.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 57,664$14,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,012.3 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 45,100$14,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,504.61 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…0f2abacked No | 14c | 39,683$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,083.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +502.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed Yes | 15c | 36,581$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,386.75 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 60c | 34,450$20,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,603.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 30,036$18,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,849.34 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 18c | 29,664$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.33 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…0853backed No | 11c | 27,340$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,344.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 43c | 25,911$11,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,028.09 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked Yes | 67c | 25,816$17,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,413.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked Yes | 9c | 23,526$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 22,568$16,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 1c | 22,245$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 21,414$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.45 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 56c | 20,711$11,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,662.93 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 66c | 19,872$13,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,732.28 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…5b57backed Yes | 6c | 18,146$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +387.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5b…0a8cbacked No | 5c | 17,811$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,981.82 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 16c | 17,500$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 19c | 16,403$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…fc65backed Yes | 19c | 16,302$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 19c | 15,292$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Yes | 24c | 12,693$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 56c | 12,000$6,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,683.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…becfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,865$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 10c | 11,772$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.32 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 10,797$8,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.58 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 41c | 10,471$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.69 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 10,402$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.31 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd376…231dbacked Yes | 22c | 9,678$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 57c | 9,635$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 29c | 9,435$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,710.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 20c | 8,800$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.54 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…fd59backed Yes | 67c | 8,357$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked Yes | 61c | 8,112$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 7,900$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…f446backed Yes | 9c | 7,800$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 38c | 7,409$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.62 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 52c | 7,213$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.49 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aba…9e7cbacked Yes | 63c | 7,133$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 9c | 7,031$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…f597backed Yes | 7c | 7,003$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 75c | 6,971$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…e140backed Yes | 1c | 6,966$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…b8d2backed No | 17c | 6,698$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +502%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 20c | 6,692$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 17c | 6,677$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 56c | 6,558$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 6,298$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 63c | 6,192$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 6,089$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.28 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed Yes | 64c | 5,968$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 52c | 5,366$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 5,329$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…c6e9backed Yes | 1c | 5,300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed Yes | 15c | 5,297$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.76 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 4c | 5,148$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.46 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…1eecbacked Yes | 10c | 5,089$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…76a7backed No | 52c | 5,040$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,021$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +238.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 9c | 4,614$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed Yes | 45c | 4,456$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 11c | 4,348$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 37c | 4,315$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked Yes | 44c | 4,278$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…7030backed No | 13c | 4,161$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +373.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 59c | 4,053$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed Yes | 21c | 4,022$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa32f…28bcbacked Yes | 20c | 3,985$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…6f4abacked Yes | 19c | 3,964$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 54c | 3,946$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.32 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 75c | 3,907$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes | 25c | 3,843$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,817$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 13c | 3,653$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.4 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…7cc8backed No | 72c | 3,599$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed Yes | 5c | 3,572$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 52c | 3,397$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 35c | 3,343$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 47c | 3,204$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked No | 14c | 3,178$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…f359backed No | 22c | 3,164$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,046$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed Yes | 7c | 2,972$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…006ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,809$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,800$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 60c | 2,723$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 60c | 2,668$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…1af6backed Yes | 16c | 2,556$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 59c | 2,523$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,521$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 2,481$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.93 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…cc47backed No | 73c | 2,475$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 80c | 2,449$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.98 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.