Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3181aa18c1a26a2c08df18981bc542ef3d870fcf75522ef89d4617b1509e701a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Martinezof Garrett Johns, Pedro Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garrett Johns | 15c | 4,229$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pedro Martinez | 77c | 790.77$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Garrett Johns | 21c | 704.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Garrett Johns | 20c | 645$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Garrett Johns | 29c | 597.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Garrett Johns | 20c | 505.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Garrett Johns | 14c | 383.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…3d3ebacked Garrett Johns | 14c | 343.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Garrett Johns | 27c | 329$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Pedro Martinez | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Garrett Johns | 14c | 162.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Garrett Johns | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Pedro Martinez | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Garrett Johns | 13c | 124.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…be44backed Garrett Johns | 22c | 101.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…5270backed Garrett Johns | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Garrett Johns | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 99.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Garrett Johns | 17c | 97.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Garrett Johns | 15c | 96.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Garrett Johns | 15c | 96.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Garrett Johns | 15c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Garrett Johns | 16c | 86.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 353 | 57.2%202 W · 151 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Garrett Johns | 14c | 72.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Garrett Johns | 21c | 69.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Garrett Johns | 27c | 63.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Pedro Martinez | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Garrett Johns | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pedro Martinez | 78c | 28.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Pedro Martinez | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Pedro Martinez | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pedro Martinez | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Pedro Martinez | 79c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pedro Martinez | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.