NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ddffe2fb5a005e6bc83feeafb7c731e3a508a3cef124fe31105a32448793f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa906…bfbcbacked Yes | 11c | 10,182$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,077$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 2c | 4,810$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 2c | 4,489$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Yes | 3c | 4,336$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 3,386$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 58c | 3,250$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.31 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 30c | 2,952$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.87 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,751$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c84…6a34backed Yes | 3c | 2,185$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 2,012$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.03 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 1,868$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.8 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…55b8backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 3c | 1,560$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 1,257$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.14 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…1dbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,227$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 47c | 1,190$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf008…c1a0backed Yes | 52c | 1,146$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 1,113$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 1,068$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 12c | 1,001$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aba…9e7cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Yes | 4c | 999.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 2c | 998.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b6…1bccbacked Yes | 13c | 961.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 6c | 878.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Yes | 78c | 857.24$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…6055backed Yes | 2c | 815.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…e56ebacked Yes | 2c | 801.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 58c | 799.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…7f65backed Yes | 58c | 756.64$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed No | 72c | 745.74$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…c6ccbacked Yes | 56c | 712.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 709.13$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 48c | 705.29$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed Yes | 4c | 702.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 64c | 662.41$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 44c | 623.37$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…5270backed Yes | 10c | 589.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 79c | 585$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 576$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Yes | 4c | 516.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 512$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 2c | 493.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 40c | 469$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…28e1backed No | 47c | 413.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +643.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…1502backed Yes | 7c | 410.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 5c | 406.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…208fbacked Yes | 56c | 380.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 371$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Yes | 69c | 338.66$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 42c | 331.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked No | 36c | 290$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 34c | 285$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 61c | 283.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed No | 36c | 280.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…ab0bbacked Yes | 7c | 267.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 50c | 258.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 63c | 249.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…95f2backed Yes | 53c | 244.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe68…0fe2backed No | 54c | 243.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 39c | 241.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 54c | 224.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 53c | 211.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 40c | 205$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 194.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1915…6356backed Yes | 53c | 187.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 47c | 176.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 47c | 168.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 52c | 168.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 59c | 157.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 68c | 156.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 10c | 155.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…9a17backed No | 44c | 149.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 146.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 53c | 140.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 45c | 137.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked Yes | 37c | 132$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 65c | 130.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 21c | 130.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 124.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 44c | 121.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 50c | 118.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 115.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…45c3backed No | 67c | 112.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 73c | 112$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ba…3e29backed No | 45c | 110.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 46c | 106.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 24c | 103.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 46c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 64c | 100.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?this page
- Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?No won
- Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?No won
- Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?No won
- Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.