NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4402219045f0fe392ea08a92d6f50b89419976d484aba5592d19bb65ea7b5c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,125,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,125,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,762 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 38c | 359,713$137,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,767.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 64c | 154,316$99,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,078.76 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…61e1backed Yes | 54c | 148,595$80,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,073.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 40c | 137,511$55,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,140.22 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 56c | 113,987$64,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,668.97 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…3212backed Yes | 39c | 100,477$38,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,717.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed No | 41c | 100,000$40,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,173.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…c2c2backed Yes | 59c | 84,252$49,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,490.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 82,682$52,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,141.11 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 38c | 79,073$30,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,170.07 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Yes | 40c | 72,216$28,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,643.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 26c | 72,130$18,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,780.63 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked No | 73c | 64,444$47,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,344.31 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 38c | 62,500$23,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,911.08 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 60,176$41,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,648.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 36c | 57,910$20,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,596.08 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 46,798$30,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,680.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 44,291$16,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,742.92 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 39c | 42,335$16,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,684.06 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed No | 70c | 41,475$28,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,525.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 41,220$27,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.37 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed No | 66c | 30,000$19,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,240.02 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…7556backed Yes | 50c | 25,064$12,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 42c | 23,902$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 36c | 23,654$8,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.62 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…1577backed Yes | 29c | 23,514$6,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,832.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 23,058$14,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,632.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 34c | 22,531$7,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,576.74 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 49c | 20,644$10,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,570.08 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 31c | 20,081$6,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225.25 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 37c | 20,000$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Yes | 41c | 20,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 45c | 18,864$8,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,484.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 43c | 18,437$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,472.37 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked Yes | 50c | 18,195$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…6f22backed Yes | 39c | 18,000$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 36c | 17,980$6,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,417.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 72c | 16,902$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.01 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 52c | 16,419$8,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,821.21 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 65c | 16,000$10,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,376.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 48c | 15,986$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.48 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 15,964$9,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,536.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 42c | 15,710$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.21 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…c32ebacked Yes | 41c | 15,103$6,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,257.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 42c | 15,028$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.42 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 69c | 13,942$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…b44fbacked Yes | 49c | 13,941$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,846.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 13,839$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.32 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 43c | 13,020$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…9328backed Yes | 26c | 13,000$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 12,758$8,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.95 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…f8d4backed Yes | 25c | 12,110$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 70c | 12,009$8,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.79 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 30c | 12,000$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…fcddbacked No | 51c | 11,047$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 10,956$7,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 59c | 10,854$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…45bbbacked Yes | 26c | 10,813$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 28c | 10,529$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.8 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes | 38c | 10,422$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 41c | 10,066$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.39 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 36c | 10,020$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…d6ddbacked Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 57c | 9,978$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.49 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 45c | 9,766$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 31c | 9,637$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.27 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 9,566$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 26c | 9,467$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.69 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…c583backed Yes | 28c | 8,692$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 8,425$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 57c | 8,251$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 58c | 8,250$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.15 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 63c | 8,212$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.53 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 3c | 8,207$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 44c | 8,023$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 57c | 7,970$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed No | 58c | 7,923$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 7,913$5,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.5 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 66c | 7,842$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed Yes | 44c | 7,811$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…15f9backed Yes | 25c | 7,789$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 57c | 7,657$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…551fbacked No | 65c | 7,433$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 7,409$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 47c | 7,322$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.39 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed No | 63c | 7,215$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 7,200$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.28 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe498…7e84backed Yes | 30c | 7,193$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 62c | 7,121$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…ea32backed No | 59c | 7,010$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb2…0bd2backed No | 56c | 7,000$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…2eb7backed Yes | 27c | 6,981$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 31c | 6,968$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.1 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 46c | 6,779$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 6,753$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.2 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…fb68backed Yes | 42c | 6,669$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked Yes | 38c | 6,235$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…0901backed Yes | 28c | 6,164$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 41c | 6,100$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.