NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e85379e5c4ec6edd40a1a855baeb449e6f5817a8a8da10e6853e1b0f2706cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,693,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,231,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,693,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9df5…61e1backed Yes | 57c | 394,646$224,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,723.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 41c | 145,806$60,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,468.06 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 0c | 130,754$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 46c | 127,034$59,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,985.45 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 1c | 125,709$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.03 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 1c | 101,807$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.73 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 93,092$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.11 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 78,884$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.14 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 1c | 72,688$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,190$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9286…a77dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,790$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 40c | 50,612$20,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,367.27 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 49,962$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 1c | 40,525$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.1 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Yes | 0c | 34,968$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 0c | 32,899$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 0c | 29,241$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1f87backed Yes | 1c | 28,385$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 47c | 25,000$11,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,358.42 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 19,579$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 48c | 19,069$9,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,109.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…c784backed Yes | 1c | 18,139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 0c | 16,513$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 43c | 15,070$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,559.98 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…f290backed Yes | 0c | 14,603$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 13,408$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 0c | 12,650$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 12,265$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 11,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 0c | 11,425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…f008backed Yes | 1c | 9,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05d…dcdcbacked Yes | 0c | 8,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 0c | 8,390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…2988backed Yes | 0c | 8,239$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bac2backed Yes | 1c | 8,090$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,652$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…b4e2backed Yes | 0c | 7,595$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Yes | 0c | 6,654$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…85cfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,410$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,406$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 1c | 6,390$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 1c | 6,325$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 2c | 6,246$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…8a30backed Yes | 0c | 5,833$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 0c | 5,748$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Yes | 1c | 5,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 0c | 5,535$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…ab0bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,496$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…8226backed Yes | 0c | 5,443$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 1c | 5,388$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Yes | 0c | 5,219$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7011backed Yes | 0c | 5,139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 48c | 5,063$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.55 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,577$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 1c | 4,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…95dabacked Yes | 0c | 4,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Yes | 0c | 4,455$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…0102backed Yes | 0c | 4,250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 4,242$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 3,896$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…8c43backed Yes | 2c | 3,841$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 0c | 3,812$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 1c | 3,784$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…a697backed Yes | 1c | 3,610$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…0329backed Yes | 1c | 3,531$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…4f1abacked Yes | 0c | 3,409$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 41c | 3,276$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…c3b7backed Yes | 1c | 2,940$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1447…4dcfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,823$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,684$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…63ffbacked No | 50c | 2,679$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…8b1cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,591$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1739…cfbbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…bf95backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 0c | 2,310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 2,015$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…1fb0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…4b60backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,999$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,929$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…57b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,811$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…0d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,799$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…b36dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,736$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 1c | 1,730$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked No | 41c | 1,699$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.35 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…32bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,643$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,607$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 34c | 1,600$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.48 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…adc8backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 56c | 1,438$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.72 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.