TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf20…c784

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.65
Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Open, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Klimovicova vs Lisa Pigatobacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+59%+$58.98
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Cincinnati Open: Alycia Parks vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$58.81
Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
Istanbul 2: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Kitzbuehel: Eva Bennemann vs Sinja Krausbacked Eva Bennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rome: Darya Astakhova vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+70%+$139.99
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$104.75
Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.85
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+168%+$168.01
Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.