TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Under52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.979245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over48c17,708$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,208.335561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c11,000$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8057950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c10,656$5,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,582.1638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Over47c7,472$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.72045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over48c7,356$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.377648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c6,785$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.9211457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over48c4,723$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.4213048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under51c4,181$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.788146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under52c3,673$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.769036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over55c3,127$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.3215741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c2,942$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.4440550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over48c2,917$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.678859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over48c2,900$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Over48c2,661$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under52c2,634$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.2826953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c2,013$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.1428647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under53c1,998$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.0532049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c1,886$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.371,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Under2c1,850$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c1,743$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79513048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over47c1,341$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.9211540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over43c1,311$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under51c1,267$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.179140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,223$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.6189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over49c1,114$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.266154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under51c1,103$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1841147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c1,035$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c1,013$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.6723746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4608159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c999.88$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9410548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c967.25$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.1946247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under48c917.98$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5537141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under46c855.98$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.756735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over46c799$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.547549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c792.46$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.31,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under52c736.21$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.261650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Over56c700$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.292937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6387…95dcbacked Over53c695.92$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.031586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+61.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under51c654.64$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8719446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c610.43$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under44c542.83$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8634726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c500.25$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5541145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf20…c784backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over51c406.75$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.478549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c399.96$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.986544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under54c388.07$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0213256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Over48c354.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.152552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c340.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0923245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c273.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6626247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over46c268.69$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.424546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Under33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.85752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under52c236.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7632150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under53c218$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.62156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick36cpaid-86.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Over47c214.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.986861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c193$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7539947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe079…a06fbacked Over54c190.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.82988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+60.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2431043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c162.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4961547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under34c152.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5228140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c150.85$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9534448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.835560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8510059%59 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecb…4f05backed Over53c129.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.135100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over43c129.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7312661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Under47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over50c124.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.074454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under37c123.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610244.1%45 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under52c119.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6921446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Under52c116.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1415451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Under69c111.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c109.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2932540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over73c102.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.123026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under47c100.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518442.9%36 W · 48 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under37c99.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.877041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over46c99.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.567241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under46c95.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.165446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under52c93.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c92.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3478548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c91.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under29c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under65c87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.825759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over45c73.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8922440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under45c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed Under33c69.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.119430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.794438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc2…c69abacked Under50c56.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.332157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.