WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ee8dc89d8372f34032b79d327ebc2624a02a88ecf3ef796627cd8f41ec3ee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 16,668$8,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,838.23 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 13,106$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.88 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 8,630$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.69 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 6,087$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.63 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 4,104$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.68 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.83 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,995$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.99 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,526$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.34 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 981.06$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.6 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 966$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Toronto Tempo | 35c | 888.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.83 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 834.75$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Toronto Tempo | 70c | 793$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 569.43$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 502.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…ecd3backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 435.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 409.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 264.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 261$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 36c | 253.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 163.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 163$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 144.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 69c | 123$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 102.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 96.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 89.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 72.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 57.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Toronto Tempo | 38c | 45.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 45.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Washington Mystics | 59c | 38.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 37.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…9121backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 37.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 30.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 29.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 26.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 22.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.