WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e4f0b9d82d054b24e9f38bab2611ef864c8bc7a75540aaaef4cbcdd9839bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 25,198$13,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,675.36 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 10,370$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 3,770$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.19 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,296$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.04 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 2,123$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.34 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 1,554$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.15 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 944.85$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.05 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 768$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 717.7$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 521$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 363.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 325.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 323$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 288$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…219fbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 223.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 182.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 110.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 96.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 94.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Toronto Tempo | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 75.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 70.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 69.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 59.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Washington Mystics | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 45.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 42.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 36.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 34.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 30.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 21.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.