WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af1b8e5c4954a89b103957c4eec81041d7634bb2a51b97f6c9ae44cec543e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Toronto Tempo, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 99,138$12,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,887.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 16,000$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.42 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 5,250$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo | 2c | 3,992$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…b45dbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 3,710$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 15c | 3,082$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.34 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Toronto Tempo | 6c | 2,692$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Toronto Tempo | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 2,014$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 1,482$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 1,470$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 1,361$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo | 3c | 1,350$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo | 6c | 1,227$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 1,073$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 1,010$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 794.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Toronto Tempo | 5c | 640$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Toronto Tempo | 6c | 600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 590$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Toronto Tempo | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 495.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Toronto Tempo | 10c | 494.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto Tempo | 9c | 486$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Toronto Tempo | 3c | 466.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 439.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 15c | 379.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Toronto Tempo | 16c | 354.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 284.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 14c | 279.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 276$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 259.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Toronto Tempo | 9c | 252.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo | 14c | 241.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Toronto Tempo | 11c | 228.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…5b50backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 215.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 198$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 192.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 188.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Toronto Tempo | 15c | 181.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 80c | 181.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Toronto Tempo | 14c | 178.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 139.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Toronto Tempo | 15c | 131.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 121.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…6686backed Toronto Tempo | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Toronto Tempo | 18c | 110.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Washington Mystics | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Toronto Tempo | 25c | 106.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Toronto Tempo | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bb…047ebacked Toronto Tempo | 20c | 99.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 88.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Toronto Tempo | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Toronto Tempo | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 25c | 68.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Toronto Tempo | 17c | 66.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…52fdbacked Toronto Tempo | 18c | 63.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Mystics | 73c | 56.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…fdbfbacked Toronto Tempo | 23c | 44.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Washington Mystics | 80c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Washington Mystics | 77c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Washington Mystics | 80c | 12.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsthis page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.