WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14a9a21cecd129ce72afb5b8c791d517e0d6564d82445714845931b2d9580c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 5,100$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.73 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 4,600$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.47 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 3,604$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.94 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 2,481$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.84 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 2,200$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 1,195$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.41 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 37c | 1,014$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 996.22$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 689.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 539.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 512$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 463.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 460.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Tempo | 39c | 408$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Washington Mystics | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 364.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 275.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 273$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Tempo | 37c | 216.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 198$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 180.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 156.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 138.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 132.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 82.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 76.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Toronto Tempo | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…d3c7backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 52.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Washington Mystics | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 36.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…9ac8backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 32.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Toronto Tempo | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.