WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaaf2ab58c7d789ad3ecd57f67370e05444f1b1ceb2df6c97d8738cf6b5a2b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 1,813$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.55 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 1,414$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.46 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,336$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 1,231$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.75 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 1,224$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.47 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 1,205$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.84 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 1,035$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 1,012$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.05 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Washington Mystics | 66c | 985.1$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 959.66$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 35c | 949.85$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.84 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo | 30c | 833.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 36c | 343.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 30c | 306.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 36c | 288.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 276$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 37c | 267.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo | 38c | 212.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 211.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 194$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo | 28c | 170.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 163.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 153.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 152.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 151.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Tempo | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 121$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Toronto Tempo | 33c | 121$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 118.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 114.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 105.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 104.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 103.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Toronto Tempo | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Toronto Tempo | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 59.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Washington Mystics | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 51.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Toronto Tempo | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 48.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 48.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 41.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Washington Mystics | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 37.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Mystics | 68c | 37.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…64b5backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…215fbacked Washington Mystics | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Washington Mystics | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Tempo | 36c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 27.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 25.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Washington Mystics | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Washington Mystics | 70c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.