WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd844a6075f5d1b6d5d09f525347cd055ff96dd6d601af51c82d108cec4591a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 48c | 4,202$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.19 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 54c | 3,562$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.52 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 53c | 2,780$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.59 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 2,320$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.42 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Over | 54c | 1,717$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,674$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.18 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 1,318$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,237$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.53 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 940.73$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.35 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d6d6backed Over | 47c | 799.95$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 752.84$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.56 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 505$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.3 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 461$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 374.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 275.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 214.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 150.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 48c | 148.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 148.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 18c | 146.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 48c | 105.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 87.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 53c | 75.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 52c | 69.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 63.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Over | 64c | 46.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Under | 41c | 46.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Over | 52c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 53c | 35.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 52c | 24.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.