WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7f98a69cb6509d373660c31019353bc7174370a3b9e4ea9263621afe41b1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Over | 46c | 8,436$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 47c | 5,063$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.65 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 3,843$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.86 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 3,572$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.65 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 53c | 3,564$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.88 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 3,513$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.91 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Over | 45c | 2,823$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Over | 47c | 2,750$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 53c | 1,871$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.11 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 1,644$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.87 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.26 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 54c | 1,420$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.7 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,315$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 45c | 1,209$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 53c | 991$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 909.7$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.51 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 765$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 723.56$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.47 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 711.52$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.41 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Under | 65c | 700$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 486.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 485.66$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 431$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 417.43$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 50c | 365.54$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 360.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Over | 45c | 360.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 325$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 316.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 270$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 225.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…62fbbacked Under | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Over | 48c | 174.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 161.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 124.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 107$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Over | 46c | 87.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed Over | 46c | 86.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 84.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 41c | 79.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 71.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 54c | 68.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 46c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 57.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 70c | 52.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 54c | 51.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…a5fdbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…64d7backed Under | 57c | 44.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 52c | 40.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 38.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 44c | 37.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 45c | 34.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 46c | 30.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 39c | 30.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 30.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 53c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.