Tennis · resolved market
Kitzbuehel: Eva Bennemann vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec177a8a1739832c7d32515490ab907dc522fe21b3d5393c1483e48195e28df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Eva Bennemann, Sinja Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Eva Bennemann | 15c | 11,274$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.26 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 9,899$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.73 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 8,982$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.1 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 1,972$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.66 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Eva Bennemann | 6c | 1,800$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Eva Bennemann | 3c | 1,645$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Eva Bennemann | 17c | 1,094$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Eva Bennemann | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 628.81$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Eva Bennemann | 21c | 577.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eva Bennemann | 21c | 554.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 546.87$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 354.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 300.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 272$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus | 76c | 269.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…c784backed Eva Bennemann | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eva Bennemann | 23c | 199.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 197$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sinja Kraus | 76c | 168.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 166.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Eva Bennemann | 8c | 143.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Eva Bennemann | 21c | 139.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Eva Bennemann | 22c | 132.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Eva Bennemann | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eva Bennemann | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Eva Bennemann | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Eva Bennemann | 21c | 96.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Eva Bennemann | 22c | 86.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Eva Bennemann | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 80.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Eva Bennemann | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Eva Bennemann | 20c | 61.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 53.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Eva Bennemann | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Eva Bennemann | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Eva Bennemann | 24c | 41.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 38.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 37.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 36.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 35.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 33.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 244 | 74.2%181 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…9efdbacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sinja Kraus | 76c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…38febacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…45d6backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 18.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 18.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.