MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0535b3da544441b42dc6e9ee8e30174f30a8662bd3ae1fbf048d52c8592a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 64,300$33,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,408.87 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 42,321$22,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,467.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 30,743$12,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,434.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…4d76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 29,648$10,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,563.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 28,938$18,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,974.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 17,314$11,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,253.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 16,728$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 14,231$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.6 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.91 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 9,700$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 9,557$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 9,239$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 7,189$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.89 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 6,630$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 6,607$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 5,916$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 5,810$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.5 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 5,386$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…0736backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,200$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,143$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.07 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 5,060$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.85 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,778$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 4,543$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.63 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,504$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,485$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.49 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 4,141$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.71 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,088$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.16 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 4,065$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fcf2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,047$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,671$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.65 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,598$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.91 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 3,404$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 3,398$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,736$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.75 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 2,663$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.64 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 2,603$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 2,348$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.99 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,297$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.57 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,244$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,225$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.26 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 2,200$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…bd5cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 2,131$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.58 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…0767backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,929$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…adc6backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,899$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.2 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,870$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,761$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.18 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,608$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.68 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,559$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.13 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,396$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.12 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,349$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.16 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,293$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.64 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,210$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.48 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,209$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.82 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,200$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.94 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,003$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 853.46$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 712$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 689.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 650.78$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 642.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 637.25$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 636.37$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.82 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18e…66e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 616.33$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 578.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 522.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 488.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e989backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 478.4$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 468$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 458.33$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 453.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 414.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 399.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 380.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 378.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 369$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 343.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 328.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…c874backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 320.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…869bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 311.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 302.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 302.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 299.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 299$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 294.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.