MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfab4f04f1c266d4440ddde7ad79820f2d851f7da135c47be21c72bffd2db5cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 4,791$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.75 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 3,284$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.02 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…5c65backed Under | 56c | 2,758$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 2,620$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Under | 58c | 2,146$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…0767backed Over | 45c | 1,989$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 57c | 1,631$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.5 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 1,614$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,578$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 1,336$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 40c | 1,280$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Over | 40c | 1,230$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 55c | 1,200$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 61c | 1,047$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 47c | 1,046$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Over | 39c | 865$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 815.18$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 700.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 43c | 615.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.67 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 45c | 614.52$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Over | 40c | 607.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Over | 42c | 585.86$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 40c | 543.75$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 46c | 543.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e989backed Under | 58c | 506.22$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 51c | 479$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 60c | 462.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 430.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 419.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…c874backed Under | 58c | 329.16$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 46c | 277.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 259.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 20c | 248.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 232.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 158.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 57c | 139.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 55c | 132.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…c784backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 43c | 119.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Under | 55c | 116.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 49c | 116.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 98.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 94.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 89.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 40c | 89.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 55c | 88.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 83.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7d…96a3backed Over | 41c | 70.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 63.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…fb6ebacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 43c | 47.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Under | 56c | 46.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…c0bcbacked Over | 47c | 45.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Under | 56c | 42.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 59c | 41.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Over | 41c | 40.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 56c | 38.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 38.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…b321backed Under | 56c | 35.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 35.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 41c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Over | 40c | 33.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…91e3backed Over | 42c | 29.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 28.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 59c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Under | 58c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 60c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…0b01backed Under | 56c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.