Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0939c05d7ff2876a866f8934292c8c271a4c654b7b2da8d49e566acba73a9f21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed Over | 35c | 1,592$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 64c | 1,366$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.49 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 64c | 1,072$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 328.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 40c | 252.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…8170backed Over | 35c | 247.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 66c | 175.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 34c | 166.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…c784backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…e395backed Under | 65c | 128.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 36c | 128.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 36c | 119.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…eea7backed Over | 38c | 105.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 34c | 65.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 40c | 52.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Under | 78c | 51.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc772…4236backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 61c | 31.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 34c | 31.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 22.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 64c | 21.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…e0f0backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.