TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x270c…f66fbacked Under3c1,731$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61498.2%4 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7d…96a3backed Under75c1,473$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.3130%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under63c1,240$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206c…d936backed Over24c1,230$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.093831.6%12 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Over25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503630.6%11 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under77c973.1$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x428c…c64fbacked Under76c863.71$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over23c856.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.5212223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under5c786.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.631,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…8141backed Over79c755.07$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under4c739.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.582,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed Over23c652.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.173941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over35c563.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4122242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under34c532.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.041,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd3…8289backed Over56c452$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.942951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over26c441.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa345…e940backed Under77c339.74$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…425abacked Under76c322.28$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over6c317.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.371,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c290.11$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.912,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c273$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.42,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under35c268$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.911,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over78c191.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9742336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…3300backed Under75c151.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.572556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over25c151.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.863,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf7…b7e6backed Over40c148.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.365949.2%29 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+32%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.25078%39 W · 11 L+9.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under63c120$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over25c100.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.214953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c18…26fdbacked Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c82.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaa…9068backed Over72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.420851.9%108 W · 100 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under74c72.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.892,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked Under74c67.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2316260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.081,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed Over26c58.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.435839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2272247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6f…378cbacked Over22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under72c44.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1643460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over34c37.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.884425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under53c37.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1186656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under76c17.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3417054.7%93 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over72c16.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7314955%82 W · 67 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.