Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b15d1b1be78c4111a60adc757f55f8f2d91e115585fcafda3d0b62918eb1b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 22c | 2,473$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 41c | 1,745$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Over | 66c | 1,030$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Under | 34c | 938.24$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 734.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.63 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…5e42backed Over | 67c | 713.15$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 629$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…9795backed Under | 34c | 571.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 560.6$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 65c | 500.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Under | 35c | 428.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Over | 64c | 400.48$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 362.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 35c | 344.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 34c | 314.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…6c20backed Under | 34c | 310.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Over | 59c | 223.07$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…6d1abacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 68c | 140.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 62c | 129.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed Over | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 34c | 94.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 59c | 91.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…521fbacked Under | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…ed26backed Over | 62c | 83.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04fb…1204backed Over | 68c | 73.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 38c | 72.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…38debacked Under | 37c | 54.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4510backed Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 33c | 38.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 65c | 36.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…d350backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 66c | 31.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 34c | 31.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3987backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Over | 65c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…011abacked Over | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.