TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,354 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebec…f03abacked Over15c6,860$1,000 inLost-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89be…ebb4backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf77a…d17bbacked Over10c764.74$80 inLost-$803020%6 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over11c757.41$83 inLost-$831,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$5046939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$5013945.3%63 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over17c441.18$75 inLost-$7545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over10c416.29$42 inLost-$41.7929813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over9c327.47$29 inLost-$29.478731%27 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over10c300$30 inLost-$3017629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…7138backed Over10c200$20 inLost-$203318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b9…50dcbacked Over10c196.28$20 inLost-$2017115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over12c172.93$21 inLost-$20.7522749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c149.49$16 inLost-$15.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over10c140$14 inLost-$141,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over11c137$15 inLost-$15.079442.6%40 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over11c100$11 inLost-$1195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.