Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf648cc7436bbc746a309236dbd16e8a7c467f6e0c1343f504bdade1f0c62d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 44c | 974.91$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 55c | 501.62$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.37 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Under | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Over | 50c | 481.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Under | 58c | 346.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 43c | 224.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 57c | 201.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 173$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 157.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 148.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 50c | 100.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 56c | 97.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 43c | 96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Over | 42c | 91.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…66febacked Over | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 54.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 54.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…66c8backed Under | 58c | 52.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…dae2backed Under | 57c | 49.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…f121backed Under | 55c | 36.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 54c | 33.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…9068backed Over | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…2b98backed Under | 56c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4585…11a1backed Under | 60c | 24.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 22.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.