Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6202943a7e6636908d9ea67a9c226520b73742be1aa853d560b372355fd3ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7170…0534backed Over | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 62c | 992.46$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 64c | 835.94$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…d937backed Over | 40c | 746.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…8170backed Over | 38c | 713.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.53 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Under | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…e940backed Under | 64c | 498.5$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 33c | 470.39$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.47 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 36c | 414.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Over | 38c | 265.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 64c | 263.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…6ca3backed Over | 40c | 251.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…0ceebacked Over | 36c | 247.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 240.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 63c | 237.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 63c | 234$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 230.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Over | 38c | 219.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 212.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.74 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 37c | 190.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 73c | 176.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 64c | 174.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 148.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 145.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Under | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 60c | 97.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 36c | 84.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 62c | 76.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 61c | 60.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 59c | 57.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…90e0backed Over | 35c | 56.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 56c | 52.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 51.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…ef00backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…378cbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 64c | 34.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 66c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…0aa5backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 60c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.