Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa67e42d85a260ed8a35218ae944d85068c6c87b966756b2b952f325196eb710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 28c | 4,672$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.21 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…088ebacked Over | 72c | 2,716$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 2c | 1,446$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 71c | 420.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Over | 69c | 372.36$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 29c | 319.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 250.26$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…f030backed Over | 72c | 199.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 72c | 153$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 73c | 149.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…f74bbacked Under | 31c | 142.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 42c | 119.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…ed16backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ec…2eaebacked Over | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…fb8ebacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…05bdbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 72c | 67.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Over | 72c | 57.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 42c | 56.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…50c1backed Over | 71c | 52.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…3238backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…e0f0backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 42c | 38.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 72c | 33.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 37c | 31.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Over | 54c | 31.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…ffe8backed Under | 34c | 30.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…12c5backed Over | 58c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…a274backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…63d5backed Over | 61c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…b7d9backed Over | 72c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…252abacked Over | 73c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.