Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b611bdf141e917fa23a5a5970ba58199a749307b1f1d683a96b759df983b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 24c | 4,237$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 76c | 1,649$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Over | 36c | 1,608$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.22 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 997.65$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 63c | 720$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 22c | 571.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Over | 3c | 362.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 21c | 301.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Under | 77c | 194.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Under | 78c | 143.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 128.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 75c | 126.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 62c | 119.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 64c | 93.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 66c | 90.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 26c | 73.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Under | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Under | 80c | 38.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 153 | 25.5%39 W · 114 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Under | 80c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.