TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof England, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe73…7d93backed Argentina48c1,828$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.931822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked England52c1,118$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.037919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked England55c647.7$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7317852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked England45c520.39$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.41,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Argentina50c398.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018554.6%101 W · 84 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Argentina47c361.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Argentina48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14430241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked England51c276.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed England52c239.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.632,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4acb…e264backed Argentina46c197.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904723.4%11 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed England57c175.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2620851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…55e5backed Argentina39c167.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.54837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b60…4e26backed Argentina45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759350.5%47 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked England59c159.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed England53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9411647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Argentina49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Argentina45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead5…427abacked Argentina55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8740…70f4backed Argentina45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…1120backed England56c85.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.682138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Argentina47c79.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5955942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed England53c63.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.821,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked England51c57.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed England78c56.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5820253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Argentina45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310037%37 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a7…127bbacked England53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54119.5%8 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Argentina47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.519042.6%81 W · 109 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6f…378cbacked Argentina44c49.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.993943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed England53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed England54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.433847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Argentina43c39.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Argentina47c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe1…d1c2backed England55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362969%20 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked England50c33.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1b…c7c5backed Argentina45c33.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Argentina39c30.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.999064.4%58 W · 32 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e6f…0b14backed England59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed England55c28.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.817629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed England57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0522752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked England59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.228251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.