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Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$630,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$710,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c145,808$44,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,174.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over69c71,701$49,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,232.0923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over69c60,147$41,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,578.912,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over70c42,403$29,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,774.342,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under30c35,627$10,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,786.1218738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c32,582$9,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,927.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under32c22,668$7,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,331.820333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Over79c18,160$14,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.612055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Over69c15,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.8613639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over66c14,907$9,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.6815843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under33c14,750$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.521333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under32c12,506$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under33c12,424$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9415441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under30c12,000$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.975646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c11,653$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.134,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Over71c10,982$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.77147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b2c…b816backed Under0c10,644$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.361030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2d…c755backed Under4c10,358$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…bf33backed Over77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3002263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c9,928$6,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over67c8,000$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under29c7,605$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.365356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under30c7,400$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22010056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under32c7,100$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2724746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c6,416$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over56c5,393$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.8613454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6505545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under32c4,879$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.2829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x496b…79a8backed Over68c4,500$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Over64c4,499$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.553369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over69c4,348$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.8314546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under29c4,320$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.798139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under31c4,152$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.861,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c3,800$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under32c3,681$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.017345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Over54c2,999$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.544459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c2,981$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.342,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under32c2,958$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.566634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over70c2,853$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.0530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under32c2,682$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2337754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under27c2,624$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under34c2,500$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under40c2,490$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.2528251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under32c2,481$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c2,454$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c2,352$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under30c2,232$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5990%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Over70c2,089$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.733158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over72c2,018$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.3820234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under32c2,010$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.174639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over63c2,008$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.125662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over65c2,006$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.2632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under31c1,938$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.981,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over70c1,877$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.968156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c1,751$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.621,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3a…e1c0backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.92837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.671040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under31c1,610$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.491,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1513933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c1,460$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9337955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2813043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb916…f248backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.286043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over69c1,428$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6417636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5131435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under5c1,286$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.582,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c1,224$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Under31c1,204$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over67c1,100$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36327254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c1,035$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.731,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over80c1,013$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.54568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…16e8backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103729.7%11 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over75c1,000$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25518644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…50c8backed Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206640.9%27 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb9…5f34backed Over76c993.25$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.252075%15 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4523…9bdfbacked Over71c985.92$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3835244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c23…5038backed Over57c863$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under21c839.29$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.151,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under30c802.29$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.522731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over79c750.03$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.381,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.53568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over69c749.99$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.58453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2717462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over65c740$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2593363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over77c730.98$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under32c730$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.614344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2207…ba56backed Over70c691.81$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.542770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d51…9b21backed Over79c666.3$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-78.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under31c605.42$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under32c597.41$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1721044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over68c588.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…dd2ebacked Over69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.713756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under32c545.37$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.528943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…925dbacked Over68c540.75$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.792560%15 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.