TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Over50c4,444$2,222 inWon+$2,22232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under50c3,364$1,682 inLost-$1,68251859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost-$50058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc11b…a213backed Under63c397.42$250 inLost-$2505427.8%15 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over37c180.55$67 inWon+$113.781,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c107.83$39 inWon+$69.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under50c80$40 inLost-$4024654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over38c60$23 inWon+$37.27460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over39c48.67$19 inWon+$29.699734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under54c36.02$19 inLost-$19.452,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd916…526fbacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon+$17.614238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under64c32.5$21 inLost-$20.812947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff9d…3a97backed Under62c32.26$20 inLost-$2011136.9%41 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.