TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,614,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,327,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,614,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over37c500,296$185,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,109.2917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c163,784$106,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,849.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over38c101,673$38,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,996.3214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over18c57,469$10,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.4874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over36c26,126$9,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,398.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over39c25,375$9,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,896.15040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c24,584$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.967448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c19,529$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under62c19,000$11,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,22014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c17,660$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c16,258$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.6351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under80c14,092$11,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.617642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over21c13,405$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under62c9,858$6,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.551,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under62c9,000$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under64c8,832$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.0444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under61c8,262$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.217757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Under63c7,857$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.141540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over37c7,245$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.0122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c7,009$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.5170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over2c6,512$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over37c6,320$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.488723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c6,001$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c5,483$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.051,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under61c4,849$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.116755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over2c4,845$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over13c4,644$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.071,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under64c4,563$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.8884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over3c4,103$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over31c3,912$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c3,561$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.8186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c3,165$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1107550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under64c2,969$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.751070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under63c2,836$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.3216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over29c2,811$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c2,646$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c2,624$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…1a19backed Over36c2,518$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.486021.7%13 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under78c2,504$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over32c2,335$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c2,314$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…37a7backed Under64c2,302$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over20c2,282$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c2,145$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e50…d347backed Over38c2,102$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.632334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c2,049$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.61,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over2c1,833$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over37c1,804$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.6215650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over39c1,794$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.56930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over32c1,689$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4821143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over29c1,529$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Over14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under77c1,446$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over16c1,380$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.552,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…3f20backed Over37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3224…dc4dbacked Under76c1,320$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.673050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over35c1,305$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9885…e8aabacked Over33c1,299$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.681225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Over28c1,258$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.1225821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over29c1,253$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under66c1,211$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.91,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over16c1,170$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.913315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over20c1,131$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Over37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40721429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over2c1,034$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over16c1,009$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0879149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over15c999.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over30c899.73$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9215054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over19c869$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4677051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over38c864.21$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.632,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over20c857.04$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over16c833.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5328133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over15c832.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2745548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over9c794.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8917223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe635…702abacked Under62c784.66$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Over39c741.03$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2894351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over14c734$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3641551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under61c722.24$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over15c705.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over30c673.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c664$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.142,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under61c655.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under61c636.03$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over13c603.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3822135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over16c595.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9831545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.