Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcf485b345852f3ce49c6e96d8ac523edff29746723a2446daf7ac1f9f2278f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austriaof Spain, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Spain | 11c | 61,216$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,886.34 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain | 12c | 38,272$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.65 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain | 13c | 10,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Spain | 8c | 8,198$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.27 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Spain | 11c | 5,000$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Spain | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030c…537bbacked Spain | 11c | 4,248$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spain | 6c | 3,235$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Spain | 11c | 3,085$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.06 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spain | 12c | 2,886$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Spain | 12c | 1,850$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Spain | 10c | 1,742$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed Spain | 12c | 1,673$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Spain | 14c | 1,600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Spain | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spain | 13c | 1,502$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain | 4c | 1,460$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Spain | 12c | 1,319$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…344ebacked Spain | 13c | 1,058$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Spain | 11c | 1,022$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Spain | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Spain | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Spain | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Spain | 13c | 848.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Spain | 13c | 789.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…5969backed Spain | 13c | 784.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Spain | 13c | 683.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…e0eebacked Spain | 11c | 597.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Spain | 12c | 587.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Spain | 12c | 561.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Spain | 11c | 560.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Spain | 4c | 533.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Spain | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Spain | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Spain | 11c | 474.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain | 11c | 450$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Spain | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Spain | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Spain | 13c | 397.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6b5fbacked Spain | 11c | 391.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 200 | 25.5%51 W · 149 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…9fd6backed Spain | 14c | 351.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Spain | 15c | 338.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spain | 5c | 334.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…bf44backed Spain | 13c | 331.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain | 11c | 327.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…eaeabacked Spain | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0848backed Spain | 4c | 288.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Spain | 12c | 255.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Spain | 12c | 255.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…5673backed Spain | 5c | 212.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…c8b3backed Spain | 17c | 166.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain | 10c | 152$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…2c44backed Spain | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Spain | 11c | 118.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Spain | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Spain | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…2fa3backed Spain | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Spain | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)this page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Austria won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.