TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,532,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,543,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,532,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over29c400,635$116,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,169.4317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c334,906$235,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,243.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under71c182,047$129,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,793.7274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c106,264$75,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,576.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384b…7d78backed Over34c97,791$33,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,123.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over32c79,216$25,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,442.0477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over34c35,910$12,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,161.474025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae95…7adabacked Under71c29,512$20,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,553.852070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over7c20,051$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.4144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c18,918$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.0151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under75c16,848$12,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over21c16,087$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.9328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Over34c15,300$5,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,201.998048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over31c12,625$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.0327345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c12,320$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.341,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over20c12,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under67c11,961$7,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.0420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under67c11,765$7,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.087163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Over13c11,750$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.6314250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over20c11,440$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over34c10,500$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.7450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Under66c10,321$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.915453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c10,162$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.841,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over20c10,046$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over34c10,000$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.498735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over34c9,500$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.7447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over34c9,291$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.711,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c9,213$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.052,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under73c9,117$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.353167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over1c8,647$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.471,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over28c8,566$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.578723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over23c8,243$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.411,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c7,561$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Over28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under71c6,636$4,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.5684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c6,602$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.021,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over34c6,389$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over34c5,456$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.6870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Under79c5,397$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over33c5,304$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.4148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under67c5,209$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.061,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Over31c5,079$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over30c5,000$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.3813811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over26c4,999$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.2210128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under69c4,963$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Under66c4,800$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6207444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c4,755$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under66c4,534$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.746660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over34c4,255$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.4710744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over12c4,142$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.354,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over25c4,091$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.6113727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over34c4,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.997034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Over22c3,960$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.024254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8148…3143backed Under77c3,784$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under76c3,689$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.3623353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over19c3,664$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Under66c3,625$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over34c3,600$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over25c3,593$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.661,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over34c3,500$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.259126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over32c3,415$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over30c3,350$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.59821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under72c3,333$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c3,234$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.181,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over32c3,102$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under73c2,920$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1131152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked Under69c2,880$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under68c2,701$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.4312647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over31c2,621$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over34c2,400$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c2,055$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.931,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under67c2,029$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Over34c1,929$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6562334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over22c1,819$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over19c1,627$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over33c1,527$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over34c1,496$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8111946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcb…c5afbacked Under67c1,491$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.288541.2%35 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under67c1,487$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9911641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Under67c1,487$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.998452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over21c1,469$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.451,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…5df6backed Under68c1,468$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.723971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over18c1,426$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over20c1,423$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over23c1,338$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30125737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over32c1,279$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2843139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over33c1,250$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over23c1,249$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.32,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Under76c1,227$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over30c1,222$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under71c1,171$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5511156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over34c1,168$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over30c1,155$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2833544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under66c1,143$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.231,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under66c1,135$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.531,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Under80c1,125$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.377244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29c…8acabacked Under72c1,000$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.53636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.