TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$767,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$838,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c51,043$21,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,029.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under2c49,378$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.212433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under9c30,342$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under42c27,917$11,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,736.242657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c21,423$12,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,033.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over69c18,880$13,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,842.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under52c18,283$9,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,587.2744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under2c16,667$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3310544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under23c14,329$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.9824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under46c12,540$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.9514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c10,995$8,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under27c10,095$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.7717642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over63c10,000$6,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.985366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under41c9,800$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.189233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under26c7,792$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0265137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under33c7,721$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.8714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over75c7,600$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9002080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over52c6,852$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.12,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under32c6,673$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.6128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under54c6,481$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.094746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2310927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Under37c5,734$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.073135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under16c5,339$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.9625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under41c5,108$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.2215040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Over71c5,000$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.993369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9910851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under25c4,927$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.0514856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under45c4,607$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.5937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under5c4,242$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2617827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c4,197$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c4,162$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c4,100$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c3,717$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8425125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under39c3,601$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.4723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c3,448$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.752,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c3,333$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6738819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under1c3,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.338615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under2c3,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under48c3,146$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.6710732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over57c3,110$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.9724341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under39c3,015$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.6229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Under5c3,011$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.588212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c2,907$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c2,515$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.482,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under1c2,438$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2511126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under7c2,353$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5621722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under48c2,265$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.154055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under38c2,248$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.5537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8135244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Under33c2,219$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.256630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over63c2,157$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.9845145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Over54c2,149$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.7911855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over45c2,100$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under32c2,075$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.0125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7128…6fcfbacked Over64c2,063$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed Under2c2,048$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.471866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under35c1,977$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5628251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under33c1,884$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2311227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over53c1,871$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under42c1,840$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.1936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under27c1,833$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over45c1,818$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.999740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under1c1,750$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5914238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under27c1,704$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under30c1,689$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over52c1,668$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.822,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Under36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under36c1,496$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7821946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under4c1,388$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c1,385$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under37c1,351$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6946939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under9c1,325$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1722932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over76c1,322$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.994,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under25c1,311$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…2d44backed Over69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ce…1276backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300e…8d02backed Under8c1,182$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over59c1,149$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46621958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0831435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Under26c1,123$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Under27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.966030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over47c1,065$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9510537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under27c1,062$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8316050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under12c1,019$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1111216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over74c1,000$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Under12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under45c977.72$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over46c956.52$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.526836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.